Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 1886.468844 2061.185461 2240.033951 2436.524435 2646.051335 2862.516390 3102.771621
2024-10-13 1601.288002 1856.866349 2130.185294 2443.125728 2790.393705 3162.826352 3591.306751
2024-10-20 1418.792373 1720.715833 2054.285610 2447.880696 2897.250920 3391.960311 3975.344274
2024-10-27 1230.030534 1553.385886 1921.178843 2366.775672 2888.168911 3475.089074 4181.701284
2024-11-03 1164.501281 1519.522210 1932.856077 2444.188200 3054.060762 3752.442919 4606.611983
2024-11-10 1094.238963 1472.245651 1921.980202 2489.105576 3177.377889 3977.762830 4970.528760
2024-11-17 1010.691693 1401.450064 1876.303553 2486.287506 3238.965879 4127.093083 5243.304577
2024-11-24 925.416576 1321.992102 1814.027358 2457.527003 3264.316416 4229.577573 5457.916004
2024-12-01 873.910587 1281.992456 1797.698680 2482.842352 3353.805181 4408.349416 5764.645659
2024-12-08 816.845970 1230.681490 1763.351534 2482.121510 3408.304341 4542.800828 6017.000783
2024-12-15 785.105843 1211.036316 1768.175612 2530.190041 3523.640717 4752.687570 6363.779427
2024-12-22 730.853487 1157.109998 1724.643658 2512.395008 3552.469629 4853.013455 6573.838002
2024-12-29 706.987218 1145.045876 1737.321632 2569.889570 3681.056674 5083.130238 6952.970672
2025-01-05 666.961624 1107.699220 1713.744718 2577.506740 3743.841001 5229.922220 7228.579956
2025-01-12 629.326088 1071.455950 1689.580296 2582.470998 3801.811607 5370.022246 7496.195252
2025-01-19 566.017970 993.367324 1602.983993 2497.933983 3736.650406 5347.537931 7552.417019
2025-01-26 558.354144 998.815582 1635.104305 2578.622933 3895.437648 5619.551243 7993.107518
2025-02-02 541.140731 988.431920 1643.497479 2625.430344 4008.110830 5831.641845 8357.583335
2025-02-09 510.904470 955.893685 1617.889604 2622.493929 4051.393417 5951.304221 8601.261624
2025-02-16 475.426530 912.916463 1574.815065 2592.523841 4055.546440 6017.588764 8774.054491
2025-02-23 457.062846 896.651300 1570.975743 2618.904054 4138.381974 6190.244080 9089.630889
2025-03-02 433.017089 869.595008 1549.432296 2618.152925 4182.142562 6309.727039 9334.678997
2025-03-09 422.713822 865.058572 1562.212770 2668.236647 4298.679671 6529.577638 9716.790417